CJOB News Team reporting
Manitoba’s NDP have a strong lead in the 2011 Provincial Election campaign, according to the CJOB News – Manitoba Real Estate Association. Province-wide the Greg Selinger and the NDP are ahead 41 to 32 percent. The Liberals have only 5 percent support, meaning they could be wiped off the political map in the province. The gap is wider between the NDP and Hugh McFadyen of the Progressive Conservatives in Winnipeg. The NDP have a 46 to 25 percent lead.
CJOB News contracted Viewpoints Research who telephoned 579 Manitobans between September 14th and 21st. The poll has an accuracy of +/- 4 percent 19 times out of 20. Nineteen percent either are undecided or refused to answer.
We then asked who are you leaning towards? Both the PC’s and Liberals have more “leaners.”
“The Liberals could be shutout,” according to Paul Thomas, professor emeritus in Political Studies at the University of Manitoba. The last time that occurred was in 1981. McFadyen needs to connect and hammer away at some key issues in the days ahead if they are going to be competitive on election night, says Thomas.
Selinger’s support is high among younger voters age 18 – 39. (47% province-wide). The race is tighter among those 40 – 59 and voters over the age of 60. It is within the statistical margin of error. Still, given the Winnipeg break-down, this is a commanding lead for Selinger and the NDP.
Full coverage throughout the day on CJOB and on Richard Cloutier Reports after 9 this morning.